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Project Citation: 

Binder, Ariel J., and Bound, John. Replication data for: The Declining Labor Market Prospects of Less-Educated Men. Nashville, TN: American Economic Association [publisher], 2019. Ann Arbor, MI: Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research [distributor], 2019-12-07. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116389V1

Project Description

Summary:  View help for Summary Over the last half century, US wage growth stagnated, wage inequality rose, and the labor-force participation rate of prime-age men steadily declined. In this article, we examine these worrying labor market trends, focusing on outcomes for males without a college education. Though wages and participation have fallen in tandem for this population, we argue that the canonical neoclassical framework, which postulates a labor demand curve shifting inward across a stable labor supply curve, does not reasonably explain the data. Alternatives we discuss include adjustment frictions associated with labor demand shocks and effects of the changing marriage market—that is, the fact that fewer less-educated men are forming their own stable families—on male labor supply incentives. In the synthesis that emerges, the phenomenon of declining prime-age male labor-force participation is not coherently explained by a series of causal factors acting separately. A more reasonable interpretation, we argue, involves complex feedbacks between labor demand, family structure, and other factors that have disproportionately affected less-educated men.

Scope of Project

Subject Terms:  View help for Subject Terms Employment; Income; Wages; Family Structure
JEL Classification:  View help for JEL Classification
      I26 Returns to Education
      J22 Time Allocation and Labor Supply
      J23 Labor Demand
      J24 Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Geographic Coverage:  View help for Geographic Coverage U.S.
Time Period(s):  View help for Time Period(s) 1965 – 2017
Data Type(s):  View help for Data Type(s) survey data

Methodology

Data Source:  View help for Data Source March CPS; SIPP-SSA; BLS published reports

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