Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:36AM EDT on Sep 03, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Chance of winning...
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$905,411,143 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎51.3-51.4%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧50.0-50.3%$75,969,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.3-46.2%$35,943,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.5-50.2%$6,434,229

49.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎47.4-47.5%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧47.2-47.6%$75,969,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.9-51.9%$35,943,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$6,434,229

48.6%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$75,969,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$35,943,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$6,434,229

0.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$75,969,679
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$35,943,120
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$6,434,229

0.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$75,969,679
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$6,434,229

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.2%$75,969,679
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$6,434,229

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$787,064,683
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$75,969,679
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$6,434,229

0.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$75,969,679
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$6,434,229

0.1%

+0.0%

0.2%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 251-287. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:17AM EDT on Sep 03, 2024
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
House Control 2024House Control 2024

$571,286 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎61.0-62.0%$571,286

61.5%

-1.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎38.0-39.0%$571,286

38.5%

1.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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