A non-linear model for a sexually transmitted disease with contact tracing

H de Arazoza; R Lounes

A non-linear model for a sexually transmitted disease with contact tracing

IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 2002 Sep;19(3):221-34.

Authors

H de Arazoza¹, R Lounes

Affiliation

¹ Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, equipe MAP5, FRE CNRS 2428, 45 rue des Saints-Pères, 75270 Paris 06, France. [email protected]

PMID: 12650336

Abstract

A non-linear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. We present the data for the Cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the non-linear model, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic, and for the mean time for detecting a person that is infected with HIV.

Publication types

Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / epidemiology*
Contact Tracing*
Cuba / epidemiology
Disease Outbreaks*
Female
Humans
Male
Models, Biological*
Nonlinear Dynamics