Predictive value of interleukins 6, 8 and 10, and low HLA-DR expression in acute renal failure

Clin Nephrol. 2004 Feb;61(2):103-10. doi: 10.5414/cnp61103.

Abstract

Aims: HLA-DR expression and plasma levels of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines (IL-6, IL-8 and IL-10) and their predictive value concerning survival of critically ill systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) patients with and without acute renal failure (ARF) were evaluated.

Material: A total of 103 consecutive adult patients with SIRS from 2 university hospital intensive care units participated in the study.

Method: Laboratory data for all patients were prospectively collected on the day of admission and 2 days thereafter. Patients with acute renal failure (ARF) and non-ARF patients were compared by Mann-Whitney U-test. Independent predictors of mortality were tested using forward stepwise logistic multiple regression analysis. The discriminative power of different variables was tested using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results: ARF developed in 36 patients (35%). ARF patients showed significantly lower HLA-DR expression and higher plasma levels of IL-6, IL-8 and IL-10 than non-ARF patients. In ARF, moderate discriminative power in predicting survival was observed for day 2 IL-6 and IL-10 plasma levels (AUCs 0.703 and 0.749, respectively).

Conclusions: We found no clinically significant discriminative power in predicting survival of ARF patients for monocyte HLA-DR expression or cytokine plasma levels. Therefore, our results do not support the use of HLA-DR expression or cytokine plasma levels for that purpose.

MeSH terms

  • Acute Kidney Injury / etiology
  • Acute Kidney Injury / metabolism*
  • Acute Kidney Injury / mortality*
  • Adult
  • Female
  • HLA-DR Antigens / metabolism*
  • Humans
  • Interleukins / blood*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Monocytes / metabolism*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Survival Rate
  • Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome / complications
  • Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome / metabolism
  • Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome / mortality

Substances

  • HLA-DR Antigens
  • Interleukins