Background: Advances in imaging technology have enhanced the detection of small nodular lesions during the course of chronic liver disease.
Methods: Between 1995 and 2002, the authors examined 154 consecutive patients with small hepatic nodules without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) over a median duration of 2.8 years. The median size of these nodules was 14 mm (range, 7-40 mm). The initial histopathologic diagnosis included high-grade dysplastic nodule (HGDN) (n=13), low-grade dysplastic nodule (LGDN) (n=42), and regenerative nodule (RN) (n=99).
Results: A total of 29 (18.8%) nodules developed into HCC during the observation period. Cumulative HCC development rates at the first, third, and fifth year were 46.2%, 61.5%, and 80.8% for HGDN; 2.6%, 30.2%, and 36.6% for LGDN; and 3.3%, 9.7%, and 12.4% for RN, respectively. The rate of HCC development was significantly higher in the HGDN group than for other types (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis disclosed that histopathologic diagnosis (P<0.001) and findings on computed tomographic arterial portography (CT-AP) (P=0.004) were significantly associated with future HCC development. The hazard ratios of HGDN and LGDN were 16.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.19-45.6) and 2.96 (95% CI, 1.20-7.31), respectively. A decrease in portal blood flow also showed a significantly high hazard ratio of 3.04 (95% CI, 1.42-6.50). Approximate annual development rate to HCC was 20% in patients with HGDN and 10% in LGDN.
Conclusion: HGDN should be considered a precancerous lesion when it appears during follow-up of chronic viral hepatitis or cirrhosis. Reduced portal blood flow in the nodule on computed tomography-AP is also an important predictor for development of hepatocellular carcinoma.
Copyright (c) 2005 American Cancer Society.