Purpose: Thirty percent of patients treated with curative intent for localized prostate cancer (PC) experience biochemical recurrence (BCR) with rising serum prostate-specific antigen (sPSA), and of these, approximately 50% succumb to progressive disease. More discriminatory staging procedures are needed to identify occult micrometastases that spawn BCR.
Patients and methods: PSA mRNA copies in pathologically normal pelvic lymph nodes (N0-PLN) from 341 localized PC patients were quantified by real-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Based on comparisons with normal lymph nodes and PLN with metastases and on normalization to 5 x 10(6) glyceraldehyde-3'-phosphate dehydrogenase mRNA copies, normalized PSA copies (PSA-N) and a threshold of PSA-N 100 or more were selected for continuous and categorical multivariate analyses of biochemical failure-free survival (BFFS) compared with established risk factors.
Results: At median follow-up of 4 years, the BFFS of patients with PSA-N 100 or more versus PSA-N less than 100 was 55% and 77% (P = .0002), respectively. The effect was greatest for sPSA greater than 20 ng/mL, 25% versus 60% (P = .014), Gleason score 8 or higher, 21% versus 66% (P = .0002), stage T3c, 18% versus 64% (P = .001), and high-risk group (50% v 72%; P = .05). By continuous analysis PSA-N was an independent prognostic marker for BCR (P = .049) with a hazard ratio of 1.25 (95% CI, 1.001 to 1.57). By categorical analysis, PSA-N 100 or more was an independent variable (P = .021) with a relative risk of 1.98 (95% CI, 1.11 to 3.55) for BCR compared with PSA-N less than 100.
Conclusion: PSA-N 100 or more is a new, independent molecular staging criterion for localized PC that identifies high-risk group patients with clinically relevant occult micrometastases in N0-PLN, who may benefit from additional therapy to prevent BCR.