Purpose: Because multiple genetic variants influence risk for coronary heart disease, we combined multiple variants that had been associated with coronary heart disease in several studies into a genetic risk score and asked whether a high genetic risk score would be significantly associated with coronary heart disease after accounting for traditional risk factors.
Methods: We considered five variants that were associated with coronary heart disease in two studies and confirmed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study: rs20455 (KIF6), rs3900940 (MYH15), rs7439293 (PALLD), rs2298566 (SNX19), and rs1010 (VAMP8). We calculated a genetic risk score for each Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study participant and estimated the hazard ratio for incident coronary heart disease of a high genetic risk score (compared with not-high) in Cox models that adjusted for traditional risk factors during a median of 13 years of follow-up.
Results: For white participants with a high genetic risk score (4% of the 9129 whites), compared with those without a high genetic risk score, the hazard ratio for incident coronary heart disease was 1.57 (95% confidence interval 1.21-2.04; P = 0.001). Internal validation using bootstrap samples estimated that a hazard ratio of 1.43 could be expected in external populations.
Conclusions: After adjusting for traditional risk factors, those with a high genetic risk score had a 57% increased risk of incident coronary heart disease in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.