Mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation has significantly decreased during the last three decades: 35 years of follow-up in 1627 pacemaker patients

Europace. 2008 Apr;10(4):391-4. doi: 10.1093/europace/eun014. Epub 2008 Mar 8.

Abstract

Aim: The impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on mortality is not fully understood. We therefore sought to investigate long-term effects of AF on mortality in patients with the need for pacemaker (PM) therapy.

Methods and results: A total of 1627 PM recipients with AF at implantation were followed in a single-centre, longitudinal study for up to 35 years. Baseline factors affecting survival and long-term follow-up were analysed. A total of 7362 patient-years of follow-up (PM implanted between 1971 and 2000, followed until 31 December 31 2005) were analysed. Female PM recipients lived significantly longer than male (P = 0.025; mean survival 91.9 vs. 72.1 months) despite older age at time of inclusion. Mean survival times almost doubled for patients implanted in the last decade, with 139.8 months in the nineties vs. 66.8 months in the seventies and 75.7 months in the eighties (P < 0.001). Male gender, age at implantation, non-syncopal bradycardia, and decade of implantation influenced survival.

Conclusion: Life expectancy in AF patients after PM implantation has doubled within the last three decades, with a mean survival in the overall population of 7.6 years for women and 6.0 years for men. Survival is influenced by several simple baseline characteristics, which may help to identify patients with very long survival times.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Atrial Fibrillation / diagnosis
  • Atrial Fibrillation / mortality*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / therapy*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality / trends
  • Pacemaker, Artificial*
  • Prognosis
  • Sex Characteristics