Background: The risk association between low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and cancer remains controversial and largely unexplored for people not receiving statin therapy.
Methods: We examined the risk association between LDL cholesterol and cancer among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who were free of cancer at enrolment and whose statin use was known. We considered a variety of nonlinear relationships in our analysis.
Results: During a median follow-up period of 4.90 years, cancer developed in 270 (4.4%) of 6107 patients. Among the 3800 patients who did not receive statin therapy, the risk association between LDL cholesterol and cancer was represented by a V-shaped curve. Compared with patients whose LDL cholesterol was at least 2.80 mmol/L but less than 3.80 mmol/L, the risk of cancer, death from any cause or the composite outcome of cancer or death was greater among those with an LDL cholesterol level of less than 2.80 mmol/L (hazard ratio for cancer 1.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.20-2.52) and those with an LDL cholesterol level of 3.80 mmol/L or greater (hazard ratio for cancer 1.87, 95% CI 1.29-2.71). Using 3.8 mmol/L as a reference point, we found that the hazard ratio for cancer for every millimole per litre absolute change in LDL cholesterol was 1.54 (95% CI 1.19-1.99) among patients not using statins; the hazard ratio was reduced to 1.24 (1.01-1.53) for the entire sample (statin users and those not using statins). These associations persisted after adjustment for covariates and exclusion of patients with less than 2.5 years of follow-up.
Interpretation: Among patients with type 2 diabetes, the association between LDL cholesterol and cancer was V-shaped, whereby both low and high levels of LDL cholesterol were associated with elevated risk of cancer.