Pharmacokinetic modeling and development of Bayesian estimators in kidney transplant patients receiving the tacrolimus once-daily formulation

Ther Drug Monit. 2010 Apr;32(2):129-35. doi: 10.1097/FTD.0b013e3181cc70db.

Abstract

Background: The once-daily formulation of tacrolimus has been reported to exhibit the same efficacy and safety profile as compared with the immediate-release form administered twice daily. However, as a result of differences in their pharmacokinetic (PK) profile, the PK models or Bayesian estimators (MAP-BE) previously developed for the immediate-release formulation cannot be used for the new once-daily formulation. Using the PK information obtained from a Phase II trial, the aim of this study was to explore the feasibility of developing a PK model and a MAP-BE able to estimate, on the basis of a routinely applicable limited sampling strategy, tacrolimus individual PK parameters and AUC0-24h in de novo renal transplant patients given the once-daily formulation.

Methods: Twelve de novo kidney transplant recipients receiving once-daily tacrolimus as part of their immunosuppressive regimen provided full PK profiles (17 concentration time points over 24 hours) on Days 14 and 42 posttransplantation. On the basis of a one-compartment open model with absorption described as following a double gamma distribution, a classic iterative two-stage method was applied to develop MAP-BEs. All the limited sampling strategies with a maximum of three sampling times within 4 hours postdose were tested for Bayesian forecasting with the aim of accurately estimating the AUC0-24h.

Results: Once-daily tacrolimus exhibited a high interpatient PK variability with coefficients of variation of 34.3% and 36.2% for AUC0-24h/dose (mg/kg) on Days 14 and 42, respectively. Regression analysis between C0 and AUC0-24h yielded r = 0.68 and 0.76 at these two periods, respectively. The iterative two-stage approach led to the development of a different MAP-BE for each posttransplantation period, which allowed estimation of once-daily tacrolimus pharmacokinetics and AUC0-24h on the basis of a C0-C1h-C3h sampling schedule. The mean bias of the Bayesian versus reference (trapezoidal) AUCs was 4.2% +/- 6.1% (range, -11.8% to +11.2%; root mean square error = 7.1%) on Day 14 and 0.2% +/- 7.9% (range, -12.9% to +14.1%; root mean square error = 7.8%) on Day 42.

Conclusion: A PK model and Bayesian estimators allowing estimation of tacrolimus AUC0-24h based on a routinely applicable limited sampling strategy were developed for once-daily tacrolimus in renal transplantation. Further validation in independent groups of patients is required to confirm their applicability for optimizing the monitoring of once-daily tacrolimus in routine clinical practice or to conduct observational or comparative therapeutic drug monitoring clinical trials.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Clinical Trials, Phase II as Topic* / methods
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
  • Drug Administration Schedule
  • Female
  • Graft Survival / drug effects
  • Graft Survival / physiology
  • Humans
  • Kidney Transplantation / physiology*
  • Male
  • Models, Chemical*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Tacrolimus / administration & dosage*
  • Tacrolimus / pharmacokinetics*

Substances

  • Tacrolimus