Sero-epidemiology of measles in general population in Jiangsu province of China: application of mixture models to interpret the results from a cross-sectional study

Vaccine. 2011 Jan 29;29(5):1000-4. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.11.081. Epub 2010 Dec 14.

Abstract

A cross-sectional survey of measles seroprevalence in general population was conducted in Jiangsu province of China. Data were analyzed by employing commercial ELISA cut-offs and mixture models. The results suggest that the overall measles seroprevalence rate in Jiangsu province (88.7%, 95% confidence interval 87.7-89.6%) was lower than the level believed to be necessary for the elimination of measles. Mixture model could provide a more comprehensive understanding of these results by investigating the different levels of antibody response to vaccination or natural infection in the population, and suggest that the vaccine-induced antibody levels may wane with time. Additional actions should be conducted in the young adult cohorts aged 15-19 years in center region. SIAs for susceptible birth cohorts over the whole province are urgent.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antibodies, Viral / blood
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • China / epidemiology
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Measles / epidemiology*
  • Middle Aged
  • Seroepidemiologic Studies
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral