Cost-effectiveness of intensive smoking cessation therapy among patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysms

J Vasc Surg. 2011 Sep;54(3):628-36. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2011.02.055. Epub 2011 May 28.

Abstract

Introduction: Smoking cessation is one of the few available strategies to decrease the risk for expansion and rupture of small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs). The cost-effectiveness of an intensive smoking cessation therapy in patients with small AAAs identified at screening was evaluated.

Methods: A Markov cohort simulation model was used to compare an 8-week smoking cessation intervention with adjuvant pharmacotherapy and annual revisits vs nonintervention among 65-year-old male smokers with a small AAA identified at screening. The smoking cessation rate was tested in one-way sensitivity analyses in the intervention group (range, 22%-57%) and in the nonintervention group (range, 3%-30%). Literature data on the effect of smoking on AAA expansion and rupture was factored into the model.

Results: The intervention was cost-effective in all tested scenarios and sensitivity analyses. The smoking cessation intervention was cost-effective due to a decreased need for AAA repair and decreased rupture rate even when disregarding the positive effects of smoking cessation on long-term survival. The incremental cost/effectiveness ratio reached the willingness-to-pay threshold value of €25,000 per life-year gained when assuming an intervention cost of > €3250 or an effect of ≤ 1% difference in long-term smoking cessation between the intervention and nonintervention groups. Smoking cessation resulted in a relative risk reduction for elective AAA repair by 9% and for rupture by 38% over 10 years of follow-up.

Conclusions: An adequate smoking cessation intervention in patients with small AAAs identified at screening can cost-effectively increase long-term survival and decrease the need for AAA repair.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / diagnosis*
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / economics*
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / etiology
  • Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal / therapy
  • Aortic Rupture / economics
  • Aortic Rupture / etiology
  • Aortic Rupture / prevention & control
  • Computer Simulation
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Disease Progression
  • Health Care Costs*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Markov Chains
  • Mass Screening / economics*
  • Models, Economic
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • Registries
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Smoking / adverse effects
  • Smoking / economics*
  • Smoking Cessation / economics*
  • Sweden
  • Time Factors