Evaluating child welfare policies with decision-analytic simulation models

Adm Policy Ment Health. 2012 Nov;39(6):466-77. doi: 10.1007/s10488-011-0370-z.

Abstract

The objective was to demonstrate decision-analytic modeling in support of Child Welfare policymakers considering implementing evidence-based interventions. Outcomes included permanency (e.g., adoptions) and stability (e.g., foster placement changes). Analyses of a randomized trial of KEEP-a foster parenting intervention-and NSCAW-1 estimated placement change rates and KEEP's effects. A microsimulation model generalized these findings to other Child Welfare systems. The model projected that KEEP could increase permanency and stability, identifying strategies targeting higher-risk children and geographical regions that achieve benefits efficiently. Decision-analytic models enable planners to gauge the value of potential implementations.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adoption
  • California
  • Child
  • Child Welfare / statistics & numerical data*
  • Child, Preschool
  • Computer Simulation
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Evidence-Based Practice / statistics & numerical data
  • Foster Home Care / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Public Policy*
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic