Background: Recent studies have demonstrated that non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) can predict the risk of cardiovascular events among general population without coronary heart disease (CHD). However, few studies have investigated the predictive value of non-HDL-C for long-term prognosis in patients with CHD. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether non-HDL-C can predict long-term cardiovascular events in patients with CHD who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
Methods: We enrolled 1074 consecutive patients who underwent CABG at Juntendo University Hospital between 1984 and 1994, and obtained mortality data through 2000. We divided the patients into 2 groups by the median non-HDL-C level at baseline (180 mg/dL) and used Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test for survival analyses. Cox proportional-hazard regression model was used to calculate the relative risk (RR) of cardiac death.
Results: The mean follow-up period was 10.6±3.5 years. The survival rate of cardiac death was significantly lower in the high non-HDL-C group than that in the low non-HDL-C group (log-rank test; p=0.006). Furthermore, in proportional regression analysis adjusted for conventional coronary risk factors, metabolic syndrome, statin treatment, and use of artery bypass graft, the increased levels of non-HDL-C were significant and independent predictor of cardiac death beyond other lipid parameters (RR1.22; by 10 mg/dL non-HDL-C increasing, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.44; p<0.05).
Conclusions: The increased levels of non-HDL-C were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiac death. Baseline non-HDL-C levels may be a practical predictor of long-term cardiac death in patients with CHD after CABG.
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