Should a lower quality organ go to the least sick patient? Model for end-stage liver disease score and donor risk index as predictors of early allograft dysfunction

Transplant Proc. 2012 Jun;44(5):1303-6. doi: 10.1016/j.transproceed.2012.01.115.

Abstract

Background: There is a global tendency to justify transplanting extended criteria organs (ECD; Donor Risk Index [DRI] ≥ 1.7) into recipients with a lower Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and to transplant standard criteria organs (DRI < 1.7) into recipients with a higher MELD scores. There is a lack of evidence in the current literature to justify this assumption.

Methods: A review of our prospectively entered database for donation after brain death (DBD) liver transplantation (n = 310) between January 1, 2006, and September 30, 2010, was performed. DRI was dichotomized as <1.7 and ≥ 1.7. Recipients were divided into 3 strata, those with high (≥ 27), moderate (15-26), and low MELD (<15) scores. The recently validated definition of early allograft dysfunction (EAD) was used. We analyzed EAD and its relation with donor DRI and recipient MELD scores.

Results: The overall incidence of EAD was 24.5%. Mortality in the first 6 months in recipients with EAD was 20% compared with 3.4% for those without EAD (relative risk [RR], 5.56, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-15.73; P < .001). Graft failure rate in the first 6 months in those with EAD was 27% compared with 5.8% for those without EAD (RR, 4.63; 95% CI, 2.02-10.6; P < .001). In patients with low MELD scores, a significantly increased rate of EAD (25%) was seen in patients transplanted with a high DRI liver compared with those transplanted with a low DRI liver (6.25%; P = .012). In moderate and high MELD recipients, there was no significant difference in the rate of EAD in patients transplanted with a high DRI liver (62%) compared with those transplanted with a low DRI liver (59%).

Conclusion: These results suggest that contrary to common belief it is not justified to preferentially allocate organs with higher DRI to recipients with lower MELD scores.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Donor Selection*
  • Female
  • Graft Survival
  • Health Status Indicators*
  • Health Status*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Liver Diseases / diagnosis
  • Liver Diseases / mortality
  • Liver Diseases / surgery*
  • Liver Transplantation / adverse effects*
  • Liver Transplantation / mortality
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Ontario
  • Patient Selection*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Primary Graft Dysfunction / diagnosis
  • Primary Graft Dysfunction / etiology*
  • Primary Graft Dysfunction / mortality
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Time Factors
  • Tissue Donors*
  • Treatment Outcome