Background: Subclinical cardiac damage has recently emerged as a potential predictor of adverse renal outcome. We therefore retrospectively evaluated the effect of left-ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), diagnosed electrocardiographically, on the renal outcome of hypertensive patients managed in primary care.
Methods: From a historical cohort of 39,525 hypertensive individuals evaluated in 2005, we retrieved 5-year data of the 18,510 surviving subjects for whom renal follow-up was available.
Results: The baseline prevalences of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and LVH in the study cohort were 25.6% and 5.6%, respectively. During the 5-year follow-up, 1.4% of patients with LVH and 0.5% of those without LVH progressed to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring dialysis (P < 0.01). Moreover, 25.6% of patients with LVH and 17% without LVH progressed from each stage of CKD to a more advanced stage (P < 0.01), whereas 0.9% of patients with LVH and 0.4% without LVH reached stage 5 CKD (P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that besides estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and male gender, LVH was the most significant modifiable predictor of progression to dialysis (hazard ratio (HR), 1.82; 95% CI, 1.05-3.17; P = 0.03). Multivariate logistic regression analysis also revealed LVH as a significant predictor of the risk of progression from each stage of CKD to a more advanced stage (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.45; P < 0.01), as well as of progression to stage 5 CKD (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.17-2.95; P < 0.01).
Conclusions: Left-ventricular hypertrophy proved to be a significant predictor of adverse renal outcome in hypertensive patients managed with primary care, and systematic screening for LVH should be adopted for assessing renal risk in these patients.