Thyroid hormones as predictors of short- and long-term mortality in very old hospitalized patients

J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2013 Sep;68(9):1122-8. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glt012. Epub 2013 Mar 4.

Abstract

Background: Although extensively investigated, the prognostic role of thyroid hormone abnormalities in older participants remains uncertain. We investigated the relationship between thyroid hormones and mortality during hospitalization and in a prolonged follow-up in frail older patients.

Methods: A nonconcurrent cohort study was conducted by enrolling 450 participants hospitalized for an acute disease, who were classified into four groups (euthyroidism, hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism, and low triiodothyronine [T3] syndrome), according to clinical and laboratory data. Multidimensional geriatric assessment variables were considered in order to identify short- and long-term predictors of death.

Results: Participants were very old (mean age: 84 years) and frail, as indicated by severely impaired functional status, extensive comorbidity, high prevalence of dementia, and hospital mortality (8%). Prevalence of any thyroid dysfunction was 40.7%; 32% of participants had low T3 syndrome, which was associated with an excess hospital mortality risk (odds ratio: 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-6.5; p = .025), adjusted for demographic, clinical, functional, and laboratory data. Conversely, long-term mortality was unrelated to low T3 syndrome. In euthyroid participants, increasing levels of free thyroxine (FT4) were associated with a slightly greater mortality (hazard ratio, CI: 2.12, 0.99-4.54; p = .053) in adjusted Cox regression models.

Conclusions: This observational study on a cohort of very old, frail hospitalized patients gives support to the independent prognostic short-term, but not long-term, role of low T3 syndrome. Moreover, in older euthyroid participants, increasing levels of FT4 are a weak marker of poorer long-term survival. Thyroid hormones may help monitor changes in general health status and predict short- and long-term clinical outcomes in very old, frail patients.

Keywords: Elderly; Mortality; Thyroid hormones.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aging / blood*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Comorbidity
  • Euthyroid Sick Syndromes / blood
  • Euthyroid Sick Syndromes / mortality
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Frail Elderly* / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospitalization
  • Humans
  • Hyperthyroidism / blood
  • Hyperthyroidism / mortality
  • Hypothyroidism / blood
  • Hypothyroidism / mortality
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Factors
  • Thyroid Diseases / blood*
  • Thyroid Diseases / mortality*
  • Thyroid Hormones / blood*

Substances

  • Thyroid Hormones