Estimated kidney function based on serum cystatin C and risk of subsequent coronary artery calcium in young and middle-aged adults with preserved kidney function: results from the CARDIA study

Am J Epidemiol. 2013 Aug 1;178(3):410-7. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws581. Epub 2013 Jun 27.

Abstract

Whether kidney dysfunction is associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC) in young and middle-aged adults who have a cystatin C-derived estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) is unknown. In the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort (recruited in 1985 and 1986 in Birmingham, Alabama; Chicago, Illinois; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Oakland, California), we examined 1) the association of eGFRcys at years 10 and 15 and detectable CAC over the subsequent 5 years and 2) the association of change in eGFRcys and subsequent CAC, comparing those with stable eGFRcys to those whose eGFRcys increased (>3% annually over 5 years), declined moderately (3%-5%), or declined rapidly (>5%). Generalized estimating equation Poisson models were used, with adjustment for age, sex, race, educational level, income, family history of coronary artery disease, diabetes, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and tobacco use. Among 3,070 participants (mean age 35.6 (standard deviation, 4.1) years and mean eGFRcys 106.7 (standard deviation, 18.5) mL/min/1.73 m(2)), 529 had detectable CAC. Baseline eGFRcys was not associated with CAC. Moderate eGFRcys decline was associated with a 33% greater relative risk of subsequent CAC (95% confidence interval: 5, 68; P = 0.02), whereas rapid decline was associated with a 51% higher relative risk (95% confidence interval: 10, 208; P = 0.01) in adjusted models. In conclusion, among young and middle-aged adults with eGFRcys greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), annual decline in eGFRcys is an independent risk factor for subsequent CAC.

Keywords: calcification; cardiovascular diseases; chronic kidney insufficiency; coronary arteries; coronary disease; cystatin C; glomerular filtration rate; kidney.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Albuminuria / epidemiology
  • Albuminuria / physiopathology
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Calcium / analysis*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Coronary Vessels / chemistry
  • Coronary Vessels / diagnostic imaging*
  • Cystatin C / blood*
  • Female
  • Glomerular Filtration Rate / physiology*
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / epidemiology
  • Hypertension / physiopathology
  • Kidney Function Tests / methods*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Reference Values
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Cystatin C
  • Calcium