Joint analysis of stochastic processes with application to smoking patterns and insomnia

Stat Med. 2013 Dec 20;32(29):5133-44. doi: 10.1002/sim.5906. Epub 2013 Aug 2.

Abstract

This article proposes a joint modeling framework for longitudinal insomnia measurements and a stochastic smoking cessation process in the presence of a latent permanent quitting state (i.e., 'cure'). We use a generalized linear mixed-effects model and a stochastic mixed-effects model for the longitudinal measurements of insomnia symptom and for the smoking cessation process, respectively. We link these two models together via the latent random effects. We develop a Bayesian framework and Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to obtain the parameter estimates. We formulate and compute the likelihood functions involving time-dependent covariates. We explore the within-subject correlation between insomnia and smoking processes. We apply the proposed methodology to simulation studies and the motivating dataset, that is, the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Lung Cancer Prevention study, a large longitudinal cohort study of smokers from Finland.

Keywords: Bayes; MCMC; cure model; joint modeling; mixed-effects model; recurrent events.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Computer Simulation
  • Finland
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders / psychology*
  • Smoking Cessation / psychology*
  • Stochastic Processes