Temperature and rainfall strongly drive temporal growth variation in Asian tropical forest trees

Oecologia. 2014 Apr;174(4):1449-61. doi: 10.1007/s00442-013-2846-x. Epub 2013 Dec 19.

Abstract

Climate change effects on growth rates of tropical trees may lead to alterations in carbon cycling of carbon-rich tropical forests. However, climate sensitivity of broad-leaved lowland tropical trees is poorly understood. Dendrochronology (tree-ring analysis) provides a powerful tool to study the relationship between tropical tree growth and annual climate variability. We aimed to establish climate-growth relationships for five annual-ring forming tree species, using ring-width data from 459 canopy and understory trees from a seasonal tropical forest in western Thailand. Based on 183/459 trees, chronologies with total lengths between 29 and 62 years were produced for four out of five species. Bootstrapped correlation analysis revealed that climate-growth responses were similar among these four species. Growth was significantly negatively correlated with current-year maximum and minimum temperatures, and positively correlated with dry-season precipitation levels. Negative correlations between growth and temperature may be attributed to a positive relationship between temperature and autotrophic respiration rates. The positive relationship between growth and dry-season precipitation levels likely reflects the strong water demand during leaf flush. Mixed-effect models yielded results that were consistent across species: a negative effect of current wet-season maximum temperatures on growth, but also additive positive effects of, for example, prior dry-season maximum temperatures. Our analyses showed that annual growth variability in tropical trees is determined by a combination of both temperature and precipitation variability. With rising temperature, the predominantly negative relationship between temperature and growth may imply decreasing growth rates of tropical trees as a result of global warming.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Carbon
  • Carbon Cycle
  • Climate Change*
  • Linear Models
  • Rain*
  • Temperature*
  • Thailand
  • Trees / growth & development*
  • Trees / physiology
  • Tropical Climate*
  • Water

Substances

  • Water
  • Carbon