Per-event probability of hepatitis C infection during sharing of injecting equipment

PLoS One. 2014 Jul 7;9(7):e100749. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0100749. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

Background: Shared injecting apparatus during drug use is the premier risk factor for hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission.

Aims: To estimate the per-event probability of HCV infection during a sharing event, and the transmission probability of HCV from contaminated injecting apparatus.

Methods: Estimates were obtained using a maximum likelihood method with estimated IDU and sharing events obtained from behavioural data.

Settings: Cohort study in multiple correction centres in New South Wales, Australia.

Participants: Subjects (N = 500) with a lifetime history of injecting drug use (IDU) who were followed up between 2005 and 2012. During follow-up, interviews for risk behaviours were taken and blood sampling (HCV-antibody and RNA testing) was performed.

Measurements: Self-reported frequencies of injecting drugs and sharing events, as well as other risk behaviours and details on the nature of injecting events.

Findings: The best estimate of the per-event probability of infection was 0.57% (CI: 0.32-1.05%). A sensitivity analysis on the likely effect of under-reporting of sharing of the injecting apparatus indicated that the per event infection probability may be as low as 0.17% (95% CI: 0.11%-0.25%). The transmission probability was similarly shown to range up to 6%, dependent on the presumed prevalence of the virus in injecting equipment.

Conclusions: The transmission probability of HCV during a sharing event is small. Hence, strategies to reduce the frequency and sharing of injecting equipment are required, as well as interventions focused on decreasing the per event risk.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Female
  • Hepatitis C / transmission*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Needle Sharing / adverse effects*
  • Probability
  • Self Report
  • Substance Abuse, Intravenous / virology
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This work was supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (NHMRC) Program grant (No. 510488), and by a grant from the Australian Centre for HIV and Hepatitis Research (ACH2). The HITS-p cohort was supported by an NHMRC Partnership Grant (No. 1016351). FL was supported by a NHMRC Early Career Fellowship (No. 510428) and AL by a NHMRC Practitioner Fellowship (No. 510246). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.