Prognostic value of estimated functional capacity incremental to cardiac biomarkers in stable cardiac patients

J Am Heart Assoc. 2014 Oct 20;3(5):e000960. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.114.000960.

Abstract

Background: Few studies have investigated functional capacity self-assessment tools in either prediction of future major adverse cardiac outcomes beyond all-cause mortality or direct comparisons with clinically available biomarkers.

Methods and results: We estimated functional capacity using the Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) questionnaire in 8987 sequential stable patients without acute coronary syndrome who were undergoing elective diagnostic coronary angiography with 3-year follow-up of major adverse cardiac events (death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or stroke). A low DASI score provided independent prediction of a 4.8-fold increase in future risk of incident major adverse cardiac events at 3 years (quartiles 1 versus 4 hazard ratio [95% CI] 4.76 [4.03 to 5.61], P<0.001), and a 3.8-fold increased risk after adjusting for traditional risk factors (3.77 [3.15 to 4.51], P<0.001). The prognostic value of the DASI score was evident in both primary and secondary prevention cohorts, with and without heart failure, as well as high and low C-reactive protein and B-type natriuretic peptide levels. The DASI score reclassified 15% of patients (P<0.001) beyond traditional risk factors in predicting future MACE.

Conclusion: A simple self-assessment tool of functional capacity in stable patients undergoing elective diagnostic cardiac evaluation provides independent and incremental prognostic value for prediction of both significant coronary angiographic disease and long-term adverse clinical events.

Keywords: Duke activity status index; coronary artery disease; functional capacity impairment; prognosis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Coronary Angiography
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Health Status Indicators*
  • Health Status*
  • Heart Diseases / blood
  • Heart Diseases / diagnosis*
  • Heart Diseases / mortality
  • Heart Diseases / physiopathology
  • Heart Diseases / therapy
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Nomograms
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Primary Prevention
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Secondary Prevention
  • Surveys and Questionnaires*
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers