Coronary computed tomographic prediction rule for time-efficient guidewire crossing through chronic total occlusion: insights from the CT-RECTOR multicenter registry (Computed Tomography Registry of Chronic Total Occlusion Revascularization)

Objectives: This study sought to establish a coronary computed tomography angiography prediction rule for grading chronic total occlusion (CTO) difficulty for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Background: The uncertainty of procedural outcome remains the strongest barrier to PCI in CTO.

Methods: Data from 4 centers involving 240 consecutive CTO lesions with pre-procedural coronary computed tomography angiography were analyzed. Successful guidewire (GW) crossing ≤30 min was set as an endpoint to eliminate operator bias. The CT-RECTOR (Computed Tomography Registry of Chronic Total Occlusion Revascularization) score was developed by assigning 1 point for each independent predictor, and then summing all points accrued. Continuous distribution of scores was used to stratify CTO into 4 difficulty groups: easy (score 0); intermediate (score 1); difficult (score 2); and very difficult (score ≥3). Discriminatory performance was tested by 10-fold cross-validation and compared with the angiographic J-CTO (Multicenter CTO Registry of Japan) score.

Results: Study endpoint was achieved in 55% of cases. Multivariable analysis yielded multiple occlusions, blunt stump, severe calcification, bending, duration of CTO ≥12 months, and previously failed PCI as independent predictors for GW crossing. The probability of successful GW crossing ≤30 min for each group (from easy to very difficult) was 95%, 88%, 57%, and 22%, respectively. Areas under receiver-operator characteristic curves for the CT-RECTOR and J-CTO scores were 0.83 and 0.71, respectively (p < 0.001). Both the original model fit and 10-fold cross-validation correctly classified 77.3% of lesions.

Conclusions: The CT-RECTOR score represents a simple and accurate noninvasive tool for predicting time-efficient GW crossing that may aid in grading CTO difficulty before PCI. (Computed Tomography Angiography Prediction Score for Percutaneous Revascularization for Chronic Total Occlusions [CT-RECTOR]; NCT02022878).