Background: Predicting a day that presents a high risk for the occurrence of ischemic stroke events may enable health professionals to prepare for emergency stroke therapy more properly. We evaluated the association between meteorological conditions and the frequency of ischemic stroke events in Japanese patients.
Methods: Ischemic stroke patients (n = 299) who were treated with alteplase at 9 stroke hospitals in 3 restricted areas were examined. The daily rates of ischemic stroke events were compared with the daily mean thermo-hydrological index (THI), the atmospheric pressure, and the daily changes of these variables for the 6 days preceding an ischemic stroke event using Poisson regression analysis.
Results: We trisected onset days based on the THI (low-temperature, intermediate-temperature, and high-temperature), atmospheric pressure (low-pressure, intermediate-pressure, and high-pressure), changes in THI for preceding 6 days from the previous day (cooler, unchanged-temperature, and warmer), and changes in atmospheric pressure (decreased-pressure, unchanged-pressure, and increased-pressure). The frequency of ischemic stroke was significantly higher on low-temperature or high-pressure days (risk ratio, 1.398, P = .022; risk ratio, 1.374, P = .039), on warmer-temperature days, and when atmospheric pressure varied from the day before (P < .05). There were significantly lower risks for ischemic stroke events on cooler-temperature days, and higher risks were associated with a variation in atmospheric pressure 3 days before the onset from 4 days before (P < .05).
Conclusions: There were higher risks for ischemic stroke events associated with low ambient temperature, high atmospheric pressure, increased temperature, and varied atmospheric pressure. Also, atmospheric pressure variation 3 days before may be associated.
Keywords: Meteorological conditions; ischemic stroke; prediction; stroke.
Copyright © 2015 National Stroke Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.