Background: Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is the most common arrhythmia in outpatients and is associated with increased mortality, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events. Although several international studies have evaluated its prognostic impact in the real world, Italian data are still lacking. Our aim was to define the prevalence, comorbidity, treatment and outcome in a population of "real-life" outpatients with NVAF.
Methods: From 2009 to 2013, 21 282 consecutive patients referred to the Cardiovascular Center of Trieste were enrolled in the study. NVAF was defined in the absence of moderate-to-severe valvular disease, valvular interventions, rheumatic heart disease. Events evaluated in the follow-up included mortality, hospitalizations, thromboembolism and hemorrhage. Clinical data and events were derived from the cardiac regional electronic patient records and the ICD-9 hospital discharge records.
Results: 3379 patients (15.8%) had NVAF (35.6% paroxysmal, 34.5% persistent, 29.9% permanent); compared to the general population these patients were older, predominantly male, with hypertension, diabetes and history of stroke/transient ischemic attack and heart failure. Oral anticoagulant therapy was prescribed in 54% of cases, above all in persistent or permanent forms, in patients with higher CHA2DS2-VASc score and younger age. The rate of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular hospitalization, thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events during follow-up was higher in patients with NVAF than in the general population. The use of oral anticoagulant therapy reduced the incidence of thromboembolic events. CHA2DS2-VASc score emerged as an independent predictor of thromboembolic events in patients with paroxysmal (35% higher risk), persistent (40% higher risk) and permanent atrial fibrillation (34% higher risk than patients without atrial fibrillation).
Conclusions: In "real-life" outpatients NVAF is associated with older age, more comorbidities and increased cardiovascular events. CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores predict accurately the risk for thromboembolic and hemorrhagic events. Oral anticoagulation reduces thromboembolic events, but its use is limited to just half of the patients.