A new diagnostic accuracy measure and cut-point selection criterion

Stat Methods Med Res. 2017 Dec;26(6):2832-2852. doi: 10.1177/0962280215611631. Epub 2015 Oct 20.

Abstract

Most diagnostic accuracy measures and criteria for selecting optimal cut-points are only applicable to diseases with binary or three stages. Currently, there exist two diagnostic measures for diseases with general k stages: the hypervolume under the manifold and the generalized Youden index. While hypervolume under the manifold cannot be used for cut-points selection, generalized Youden index is only defined upon correct classification rates. This paper proposes a new measure named maximum absolute determinant for diseases with k stages ([Formula: see text]). This comprehensive new measure utilizes all the available classification information and serves as a cut-points selection criterion as well. Both the geometric and probabilistic interpretations for the new measure are examined. Power and simulation studies are carried out to investigate its performance as a measure of diagnostic accuracy as well as cut-points selection criterion. A real data set from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative is analyzed using the proposed maximum absolute determinant.

Keywords: Alzheimer’s Disease; Maximum absolute determinant; optimal cut-points; volume for the parallelotope.

MeSH terms

  • Alzheimer Disease / classification
  • Alzheimer Disease / diagnosis
  • Alzheimer Disease / psychology
  • Biomarkers / metabolism
  • Biostatistics / methods
  • Brain / diagnostic imaging
  • Computer Simulation
  • Diagnostic Tests, Routine / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Neuroimaging / statistics & numerical data
  • ROC Curve

Substances

  • Biomarkers