Sudden death prediction by C-reactive protein, electrocardiographic findings, and myocardial fatty acid uptake in haemodialysis patients: analysis of a multicentre prospective cohort sub-study

Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2016 Dec;17(12):1394-1404. doi: 10.1093/ehjci/jev294. Epub 2015 Dec 27.

Abstract

Aims: The purpose of this study was to identify determinants of sudden death among clinical information in combination with cardiac fatty acid metabolism for better risk-stratification of haemodialysis patients.

Methods and results: Clinical and imaging data from 677 haemodialysis patients enrolled in the beta-methyl-p-iodophenyl pentadecanoic acid (BMIPP) SPECT Analysis for Decreasing Cardiac Events in Hemodialysis Patients (B-SAFE) study were analysed in this study. During a 3-year prospective follow-up interval, 20 sudden deaths were observed. Compared with non-sudden death patients, sudden death patients more frequently had an increased C-reactive protein level (>2.38 mg/dL), electrocardiographic abnormal Q-wave and increased BMIPP abnormality score (>16). Patients with BMIPP score >16 and at least one of the other predictors had significantly lower event-free rates than did those without the BMIPP abnormality (P < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed increased C-reactive protein level, abnormal Q-wave, and greater BMIPP abnormality as significant sudden death predictors with hazards ratios of 6.83 (95% CI: 1.76-26.47, P = 0.005), 17.73 (95% CI: 4.91-63.98, P < 0.001), and 10.58 (95% CI; 3.84-29.14, P < 0.001), respectively. The addition of BMIPP score >16 to the other clinical predictors increased the hazard ratio and receiver-operating characteristic analysis-area under the curve up to 145.22 (95% CI; 0.34-695.09) and to 0.677-0.690, respectively.

Conclusions: Increased C-reactive protein, electrocardiographic Q-wave, and impaired myocardial fatty acid metabolism are independently and synergistically related to sudden death risk in haemodialysis patients. The non-invasive strategy presented here might contribute to the identification of haemodialysis patients who can most benefit from a prophylactic treatment against sudden death.

Keywords: C-reactive protein; electrocardiographic Q-wave; haemodialysis; myocardial fatty acid metabolism; nuclear imaging; sudden death.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • C-Reactive Protein / metabolism*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Death, Sudden, Cardiac / etiology*
  • Death, Sudden, Cardiac / pathology
  • Electrocardiography / methods
  • Fatty Acids / blood*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / diagnosis
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / mortality*
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / therapy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Myocardial Infarction / diagnostic imaging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Renal Dialysis / adverse effects*
  • Renal Dialysis / methods
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sex Factors
  • Survival Analysis
  • Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon / methods

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Fatty Acids
  • C-Reactive Protein