The value of the Clinical SYNTAX Score in predicting long-term prognosis in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction who have undergone primary percutaneous coronary intervention

Coron Artery Dis. 2016 Mar;27(2):135-42. doi: 10.1097/MCA.0000000000000332.

Abstract

Background: The Clinical SYNTAX Score (CSS) combines anatomical and clinical risk assessment.

Objectives: This study was designed to evaluate CSS as a predictor of prognosis in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing a primary percutaneous coronary intervention (p-PCI).

Methods: We evaluated 433 patients who were diagnosed with STEMI and underwent p-PCI. CSS was calculated by multiplying the anatomically derived SYNTAX score (Sx) by the modified age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score. Patients were divided into tertiles according to the CSS: CSS(Low)≤14 (n=141), 14<CSS(Mid)≤26 (n=144), and CSS(High)>26 (n=148). The primary endpoints were defined as all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and cerebrovascular events over 15 months' follow-up.

Results: Primary endpoints were achieved in 9.2% of patients with CSS≤14, 12.5% of those with 14<CSS≤26, and 28.4% of those with CSS>26 (P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the CSS>26 group had a significantly higher incidence of primary endpoints [P (log-rank)<0.001]. CSS>26 was identified as an independent predictor for all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio 3.58, 95% confidence interval 1.68-7.60, P=0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis found areas under the curve of 0.66, 0.59, and 0.64 for CSS, Sx score, and age, creatinine, and ejection fraction score (P<0.001, P=0.01, P<0.001, respectively).

Conclusion: CSS may be better than the Sx score for predicting long-term prognosis in patients with STEMI undergoing p-PCI.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Coronary Angiography
  • Coronary Stenosis / diagnostic imaging*
  • Coronary Stenosis / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Myocardial Infarction / epidemiology
  • Myocardial Infarction / physiopathology
  • Myocardial Infarction / surgery*
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention*
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • ROC Curve
  • Recurrence
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Stroke / epidemiology
  • Stroke Volume / physiology