Developing and validating a new national remote health advice syndromic surveillance system in England

J Public Health (Oxf). 2017 Mar 1;39(1):184-192. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdw013.

Abstract

Background: Public Health England (PHE) coordinates a suite of real-time national syndromic surveillance systems monitoring general practice, emergency department and remote health advice data. We describe the development and informal evaluation of a new syndromic surveillance system using NHS 111 remote health advice data.

Methods: NHS 111 syndromic indicators were monitored daily at national and local level. Statistical models were applied to daily data to identify significant exceedances; statistical baselines were developed for each syndrome and area using a multi-level hierarchical mixed effects model.

Results: Between November 2013 and October 2014, there were on average 19 095 NHS 111 calls each weekday and 43 084 each weekend day in the PHE dataset. There was a predominance of females using the service (57%); highest percentage of calls received was in the age group 1-4 years (14%). This system was used to monitor respiratory and gastrointestinal infections over the winter of 2013-14, the potential public health impact of severe flooding across parts of southern England and poor air quality episodes across England in April 2014.

Conclusions: This new system complements and supplements the existing PHE syndromic surveillance systems and is now integrated into the routine daily processes that form this national syndromic surveillance service.

Keywords: epidemiology; primary care; public health.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • England / epidemiology
  • Female
  • General Practice
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Population Surveillance / methods*
  • Public Health*
  • Remote Consultation
  • State Medicine
  • Statistics as Topic / standards*
  • Young Adult