Cholera Incidence and Mortality in Sub-Saharan African Sites during Multi-country Surveillance

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 May 17;10(5):e0004679. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004679. eCollection 2016 May.

Abstract

Background: Cholera burden in Africa remains unknown, often because of weak national surveillance systems. We analyzed data from the African Cholera Surveillance Network (www.africhol.org).

Methods/ principal findings: During June 2011-December 2013, we conducted enhanced surveillance in seven zones and four outbreak sites in Togo, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Guinea, Uganda, Mozambique and Cote d'Ivoire. All health facilities treating cholera cases were included. Cholera incidences were calculated using culture-confirmed cholera cases and culture-confirmed cholera cases corrected for lack of culture testing usually due to overwhelmed health systems and imperfect test sensitivity. Of 13,377 reported suspected cases, 34% occurred in Conakry, Guinea, 47% in Goma, DRC, and 19% in the remaining sites. From 0-40% of suspected cases were aged under five years and from 0.3-86% had rice water stools. Within surveillance zones, 0-37% of suspected cases had confirmed cholera compared to 27-38% during outbreaks. Annual confirmed incidence per 10,000 population was <0.5 in surveillance zones, except Goma where it was 4.6. Goma and Conakry had corrected incidences of 20.2 and 5.8 respectively, while the other zones a median of 0.3. During outbreaks, corrected incidence varied from 2.6 to 13.0. Case fatality ratios ranged from 0-10% (median, 1%) by country.

Conclusions/significance: Across different African epidemiological contexts, substantial variation occurred in cholera incidence, age distribution, clinical presentation, culture confirmation, and testing frequency. These results can help guide preventive activities, including vaccine use.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Africa South of the Sahara / epidemiology
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cholera / epidemiology*
  • Cholera / mortality
  • Cholera / prevention & control
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Infant
  • Middle Aged

Grants and funding

Financial support was provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation through the Africhol project (grant number: OPPGH5233), administered by the Agence de Medecine Preventive (AMP), Paris, France. The funder had no role in study design study, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript.