Prognostic Value of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Compared with Risk Scores in Stable Cardiovascular Disease

Background: Risk stratification of patients with cardiovascular disease remains challenging despite consideration of risk scores.

Methods: We aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in a low-risk outpatient population presenting for nonsecondary and secondary prevention. All-cause mortality, a composite of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke (end point 2), and a composite of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, stroke and rehospitalization for acute coronary syndrome, and decompensated heart failure (end point 3) were defined. The prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T on index visit was compared with the PROCAM score and 3 FRAMINGHAM subscores.

Results: In 693 patients with a median follow-up of 796 days, we observed 16 deaths, 32 patients with end point 2, and 83 patients with end point 3. All risk scores performed better in the prediction of all-cause mortality in nonsecondary prevention (area under the curve [AUC]: PROCAM: 0.922 vs 0.523, P = .001, consistent for all other scores). In secondary prevention, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T outperformed all risk scores in the prediction of all-cause mortality (ΔAUC: PROCAM: 0.319, P <.001, consistent for all other scores) and performed superiorly in the prediction of end point 2 compared with the PROCAM, FRAMINGHAM-Coronary Heart Disease, and FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease scores (ΔAUC: PROCAM: 0.176, P = .047, consistent for FRAMINGHAM-Coronary Heart Disease and FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease). In nonsecondary prevention, we observed a comparable prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and multivariable risk scores. Our findings on the prediction of all-cause mortality compared with the FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease score were confirmed in an independent validation cohort on 2046 patients.

Conclusions: High-sensitivity troponin T provides excellent risk stratification regarding all-cause mortality and all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke in a secondary prevention cohort in whom risk scores perform poorly.