[Carcinoembryonal antigen and the follow up of patients after resection of colon carcinoma with curative intent: a Markov process in decision analysis]

Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 1989 Sep 9;133(36):1784-9.
[Article in Dutch]

Abstract

The follow-up of colon cancer patients by monitoring serum carcinoembryonic antigen has advantages (better survival after early detection of recurrence by CEA rise) as well as disadvantages (false-positive rise of CEA, and early detection of incurable recurrences in asymptomatic patients). The effects of CEA follow-up on quality-adjusted life expectancy (QUALE) of patients with curatively resected colon carcinoma have been simulated by a Markov analysis using literature data. The value of CEA seems insignificant and varies, depending on the literature data used, from a mean increase of QUALE by 6 days (+0.4%) to a mean decrease by 2 days (-0.07%). This value depends on patient-related variables; the negative effects of CEA especially predominate in older patients with favourable Dukes' stages of primary tumour.

Publication types

  • English Abstract

MeSH terms

  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen / analysis*
  • Colonic Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Colonic Neoplasms / pathology
  • Colonic Neoplasms / surgery
  • Decision Trees*
  • Humans
  • Markov Chains*
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Probability*
  • Prognosis

Substances

  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen