Comparing very low birth weight versus very low gestation cohort methods for outcome analysis of high risk preterm infants

BMC Pediatr. 2017 Jul 14;17(1):166. doi: 10.1186/s12887-017-0921-x.

Abstract

Background: Compared to very low gestational age (<32 weeks, VLGA) cohorts, very low birth weight (<1500 g; VLBW) cohorts are more prone to selection bias toward small-for-gestational age (SGA) infants, which may impact upon the validity of data for benchmarking purposes.

Method: Data from all VLGA or VLBW infants admitted in the 3 Networks between 2008 and 2011 were used. Two-thirds of each network cohort was randomly selected to develop prediction models for mortality and composite adverse outcome (CAO: mortality or cerebral injuries, chronic lung disease, severe retinopathy or necrotizing enterocolitis) and the remaining for internal validation. Areas under the ROC curves (AUC) of the models were compared.

Results: VLBW cohort (24,335 infants) had twice more SGA infants (20.4% vs. 9.3%) than the VLGA cohort (29,180 infants) and had a higher rate of CAO (36.5% vs. 32.6%). The two models had equal prediction power for mortality and CAO (AUC 0.83), and similarly for all other cross-cohort validations (AUC 0.81-0.85). Neither model performed well for the extremes of birth weight for gestation (<1500 g and ≥32 weeks, AUC 0.50-0.65; ≥1500 g and <32 weeks, AUC 0.60-0.62).

Conclusion: There was no difference in prediction power for adverse outcome between cohorting VLGA or VLBW despite substantial bias in SGA population. Either cohorting practises are suitable for international benchmarking.

Keywords: Benchmarking; Infant; Intensive care; Neonatal; Outcome; Premature; Small for gestational age; Very low birth weight.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Area Under Curve
  • Australia / epidemiology
  • Benchmarking
  • Canada / epidemiology
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • Female
  • Gestational Age
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant Mortality*
  • Infant, Extremely Premature*
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infant, Premature
  • Infant, Premature, Diseases / diagnosis
  • Infant, Premature, Diseases / etiology*
  • Infant, Premature, Diseases / mortality
  • Infant, Premature, Diseases / therapy
  • Infant, Small for Gestational Age*
  • Infant, Very Low Birth Weight*
  • Intensive Care, Neonatal
  • Male
  • Models, Statistical
  • New Zealand / epidemiology
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Selection Bias
  • Sweden / epidemiology