Background: The long-term impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines on pneumonia hospitalizations in all age-groups varies between countries. In the Netherlands, the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) was implemented for newborns in 2006 and replaced by PCV10 in 2011. We assessed the impact of PCVs on community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) hospitalization rates in all age-groups.
Methods: A time series analysis using Poisson regression was performed on 155,994 CAP hospitalizations. Hospitalization rates were calculated using the total number of hospitalizations as denominator. The time trend in the pre-PCV period (1999-2006) was extrapolated to predict the hospitalization rate in the post-PCV period (2006-2014) if PCV had not been implemented. Rate ratios over time were calculated by comparing observed and predicted time trends.
Results: In children <5 years of age, the observed hospitalization rates during the post-PCV period were significantly lower than predicted if PCV had not been implemented (0-6 months: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.96; 6 months - 1 year: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.50-0.90; 2-4 years: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.61-0.97). In all other age-groups, rate ratios declined over time but did not reach statistical significance.
Conclusions: After introduction of PCV, CAP hospitalizations declined in young children but no clear impact of PCV on CAP hospitalizations was seen in other age-groups.
Keywords: Epidemiology; Hospitalization rates; PCV10; PCV7; Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine; Pneumonia.
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