Prognostic Prediction Model for Second Allogeneic Stem-Cell Transplantation in Patients With Relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Single-Center Report

Clin Lymphoma Myeloma Leuk. 2018 Apr;18(4):e167-e182. doi: 10.1016/j.clml.2018.02.009. Epub 2018 Feb 17.

Abstract

Purpose: To identify factors affecting survival outcomes and to develop a prognostic model for second allogeneic stem-cell transplantation (allo-SCT2) for relapsed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) after the first autologous or allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

Patients and methods: Seventy-eight consecutive adult AML patients who received allo-SCT2 were analyzed in this retrospective study.

Results: The 4-year overall survival (OS) rate was 28.7%. In multivariate analysis, poor cytogenetic risk at diagnosis, circulating blast ≥ 20% at relapse, duration from first transplantation to relapse < 9 months, and failure to achieve morphologic complete remission after allo-SCT2 were factors associated with poor OS. A prognostic model was developed with the following score system: intermediate and poor cytogenetic risk at diagnosis (0.5 and 1 point), peripheral blast ≥ 20% at relapse (1 point), duration from the first transplantation to relapse < 9 months (1 point), and failure to achieve morphologic complete remission after allo-SCT2 (1 point). The model identified 2 subgroups according to the 4-year OS rate: 51.3% in the low-risk group (score < 2) and 2.8% in the high-risk group (score ≥ 2) (P < .001).

Conclusion: This prognostic model might be useful to make an appropriate decision for allo-SCT2 in relapsed AML after the first autologous or allogeneic stem-cell transplantation.

Keywords: Prognostic factor; Relapse; Second stem-cell transplantation; Survival.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / methods
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / mortality*
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute / mortality*
  • Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute / therapy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors*
  • Treatment Outcome*
  • Young Adult