A Monte Carlo-Based Bayesian Approach for Measuring Agreement in a Qualitative Scale

Appl Psychol Meas. 2015 May;39(3):189-207. doi: 10.1177/0146621614554080. Epub 2014 Nov 5.

Abstract

Agreement analysis has been an active research area whose techniques have been widely applied in psychology and other fields. However, statistical agreement among raters has been mainly considered from a classical statistics point of view. Bayesian methodology is a viable alternative that allows the inclusion of subjective initial information coming from expert opinions, personal judgments, or historical data. A Bayesian approach is proposed by providing a unified Monte Carlo-based framework to estimate all types of measures of agreement in a qualitative scale of response. The approach is conceptually simple and it has a low computational cost. Both informative and non-informative scenarios are considered. In case no initial information is available, the results are in line with the classical methodology, but providing more information on the measures of agreement. For the informative case, some guidelines are presented to elicitate the prior distribution. The approach has been applied to two applications related to schizophrenia diagnosis and sensory analysis.

Keywords: Bayesian methodology; Monte Carlo methods; measures of agreement; multiple raters; prior elicitation.