Objective: To assess the sensitivities of the Wells score (WS) and the revised Geneva score (RGS) and their prognostic values in the diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) in the Japanese population.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients with PE aged 16 years or older who were assessed between December 2008 and August 2014. Patients were divided into the PE unlikely and PE likely groups according to the WS and PE unlikely and PE likely groups according to the RGS. We also described the characteristics and three-month mortality of the patients. Univariate predictors with p < 0.05 were included in the multiple regression model. Fisher׳s exact test and Student׳s t-test were used for categorical and continuous variables, respectively.
Results: PE was confirmed in 53 patients, and seven (13%) patients died within 3 months. The mean age was 66.0 ± 14.4 years. There were 32 female patients (60.4%). The RGS had a higher sensitivity than the WS (20.8% vs. 15.1%, P <0.01), although both scores had low yields. Mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with syncope than in those without (33.3% vs. 7.3%, respectively; P = 0.039). After age and sex adjustments, the presence of syncope showed a statistically significant association with mortality. The mortality rate did not significantly differ between the two groups categorized according to the WS (17.4% vs. 0%; P = 0.58) and RGS (21.7% vs. 14.3%; P = 1.00).
Conclusion: WS and RGS had low sensitivity in the diagnosis of PE and had limited prognostic values in a Japanese community hospital setting. Promoting awareness about the risk of mortality in patients with PE, especially those with syncope, is necessary.
Keywords: Clinical Prediction Rules; Japanese; Pulmonary embolism; Syncope.
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