Concordance of the Balthazar Grade and the Revised Atlanta Classification: Proposing a Modified Balthazar Grade to Predict the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis in Pediatric Population

Pancreas. 2018 Nov/Dec;47(10):1312-1316. doi: 10.1097/MPA.0000000000001166.

Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study was to compare the concordance of the Balthazar grade and the revised Atlanta classification and then establish a modified radiological scoring system that would predict 3 degrees of severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on the latest Atlanta classification.

Methods: A retrospective study enrolling pediatric inpatients with AP who had completed computed tomography was conducted between January 2006 and March 2018. The concordance of the 2 radiological scoring systems was assessed with κ statistic.

Results: The Balthazar grade was unable to accurately predict the severity of AP compared with the revised Atlanta classification. However, a modified Balthazar grading system defining patents with Balthazar grades A to C as mild, grade D as moderately, and grade E as severe presented perfect agreement with the revised Atlanta classification across the enrolled population (κ, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.73-0.97). The concordance of the modified Balthazar score and the revised Atlanta classification remained a perfect degree of agreement across repeated tests in 90 random samples (κ, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.85-0.85).

Conclusions: The modified Balthazar grade demonstrated perfect agreement with the latest Atlanta classification for AP severity scoring. As such, the modified Balthazar grade can be used to predict 3 degrees of severity of AP.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adolescent
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Necrosis
  • Pancreatitis / classification
  • Pancreatitis / diagnostic imaging*
  • Pancreatitis / pathology*
  • Prognosis
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Severity of Illness Index*
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed / methods*