Performance of preoperative plasma tumor markers HE4 and CA125 in predicting ovarian cancer mortality in women with epithelial ovarian cancer

PLoS One. 2019 Jun 20;14(6):e0218621. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218621. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

Clinical utility of new biomarkers often requires the identification of their optimal threshold. This external validation study was conducted to assess the performance of the preoperative plasma tumor markers HE4 and CA125 optimal cut-offs to predict cancer mortality in women with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). Participating women had upfront debulking surgery in the University Hospital of Quebec City (Canada) between 1998 and 2013. A total of 136 women participated in the training cohort (cohort 1) and 177 in the validation cohort (cohort 2). Preoperative plasma HE4 and CA125 levels were measured by Elecsys. Optimal thresholds were identified in the cohort 1 using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Multivariate Cox models were used to validate the biomarkers using their optimal cut-offs in the cohort 2. The likelihood ratio (LR) test was done to test whether the biomarkers added prognostic information beyond that provided by standard prognostic factors. The Areas Under the Curves (AUC) for HE4 and CA125 were respectively 64.2 (95% CI: 54.7-73.6) and 63.1 (95%CI: 53.6-72.6). The optimal thresholds were 277 pmol/L for HE4 and 282 U/ml for CA125. Preoperative plasma HE4 (≥277 pmol/L) was significantly associated with EOC mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.90; 95% CI:1.09-3.29). The prognostic effect of HE4 was strongest in the subgroup of women with serous ovarian cancer (aHR: 2.42; 95% CI: 1.25-4.68). Using a multivariate model including all standard prognostic factors, this association was maintained (aHR: 2.21; 95% CI: 1.15-4.23). In addition, preoperative plasma HE4 added prediction for death over the standard prognostic markers in women with serous tumors (p-value for LR-test: 0.01). Preoperative CA125 was not associated with cancer mortality, both in women with EOC and in those with serous tumors. Preoperative HE4 is a promising prognostic biomarker in EOC, especially in serous tumor.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / blood*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / standards
  • CA-125 Antigen / blood*
  • Carcinoma / blood
  • Carcinoma / diagnosis*
  • Carcinoma / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Membrane Proteins / blood*
  • Membrane Proteins / standards
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / blood
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / diagnosis*
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • WAP Four-Disulfide Core Domain Protein 2 / analysis*
  • WAP Four-Disulfide Core Domain Protein 2 / standards

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • CA-125 Antigen
  • MUC16 protein, human
  • Membrane Proteins
  • WAP Four-Disulfide Core Domain Protein 2
  • WFDC2 protein, human

Grants and funding

This study was partly funded by the “Banque de tissus et de données du Réseau de recherche sur le cancer, Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Santé", which is affiliated with the Canadian Tumor Repository Network. We thank Roche Diagnostics (Laval, Canada) for providing the HE4 and CA125 kits and the funds for the dosages and the statistical analyses. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.