Introduction: Caring for patients is inevitably fraught with uncertainties. These may result from clinicians not having or not using the available knowledge, from the incompleteness of the medical science base as a whole, or from the inevitable randomness of biological, psychological and social phenomena. Advances in science promise to reduce uncertainty by making ever more precise diagnosis and treatment possible.
Methods: Here, we discuss two typical examples of scientific progress and on how they impact on clinical uncertainty: first, the stratification of chemotherapy for early breast cancer by a 70-gene signature, and second, the interpretation of knee MRI regarding meniscal damage.
Results: According to a large randomized trial, the 70-gene -signature successfully differentiates between strata for invasive treatments. The quantitative results and related trade-offs, however, pose considerable difficulties for patient information and shared decision-making, thus increasing uncertainty. Knee complaints are only weakly associated with MRI findings. Pathological findings are highly prevalent in symptom-free individuals.
Conclusion: Recent advances in diagnostic methods increase the cognitive demands on clinicians and thus their uncertainty. By uncritically using advanced technologies in their practice, physicians exploit their archetypical healing powers. In a paradoxical way, modern technologies reduce uncertainties felt by doctors and their patients in an archaic fashion.
Keywords: Decision making; Diagnostic imaging; Diagnostische Bildgebung; Entscheidungsfindung; Precision medicine; Präzisionsmedizin; Uncertainty; Unsicherheit.
Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier GmbH.