Background: The level of serum uric acid (SUA) in treatment follow-up is associated with mortality in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients, but it remains unknown if the longitudinal change in SUA affects mortality.
Methods: 309 PD patients who were not using UA-lowering agents were enrolled. The longitudinal change in SUA was estimated by comparing the values between the run-in and follow-up periods. Based the calculated values, the patients were divided into SUA decliner and SUA non-decliner. A propensity score (PS) was calculated using the parameters measured in run-in period. After PS matching, the time-to-event analysis was performed for all-cause death.
Results: After PS matching, 86 patients of each group were left. A higher mortality of 19/86 existed in SUA decliner compared with SUA non-decliner which is 3/86 (p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis in sub-cohort showed worse survival in the SUA decliner. Standard and stratified Cox regression analysis both showed SUA decline to be an independent risk factor for all-cause death in PD patients.
Conclusions: The decline in SUA in the follow-up may predict the all-cause mortality of PD patients, the reason of which may result from reducing scavenging effects of SUA or may reflect general condition. More studies need to be done.
Keywords: All-cause mortality; Peritoneal dialysis; Propensity score matching; Stratified Cox regression; Uric acid.