A Novel Scoring System for Pivotal Autophagy-Related Genes Predicts Outcomes after Chemotherapy in Advanced Ovarian Cancer Patients

Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2019 Dec;28(12):2106-2114. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-19-0359. Epub 2019 Sep 18.

Abstract

Background: In the clinical practice of ovarian cancer, the application of autophagy, an important regulator of carcinogenesis and chemoresistance, is still limited. This study aimed to establish a scoring system based on expression profiles of pivotal autophagy-related (ATG) genes in patients with stage III/IV ovarian cancer who received chemotherapy.

Methods: Data of ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA-OV) were used as training dataset. Two validation datasets comprised patients in a Chinese local database and a dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). ATG genes significantly (P < 0.1) associated with overall survival (OS) were selected and aggregated into an ATG scoring scale, of which the abilities to predict OS and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were examined.

Results: Forty-three ATG genes were selected to develop the ATG score. In TCGA-OV, patients with lower ATG scores had better OS [HR = 0.41; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.26-0.65; P < 0.001] and RFS [HR = 0.47; 95% CI, 0.27-0.82; P = 0.007]. After complete or partial remission to primary therapy, the rate of recurrence was 47.2% in the low-score group and 68.3% in the high-score group (odds ratio = 0.42; 95% CI, 0.18-0.92; P = 0.03). Such findings were verified in the two validation datasets.

Conclusions: We established a novel scoring system based on pivotal ATG genes, which accurately predicts the outcomes of patients with advanced ovarian cancer after chemotherapy.

Impact: The present ATG scoring system may provide a novel perspective and a promising tool for the development of personalized therapy in the future.

MeSH terms

  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use*
  • Autophagy
  • Autophagy-Related Proteins / genetics*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor / genetics*
  • Carboplatin / administration & dosage
  • Cisplatin / administration & dosage
  • Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous / drug therapy
  • Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous / genetics
  • Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous / mortality*
  • Cystadenocarcinoma, Serous / pathology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / drug therapy
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / genetics
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / mortality*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / pathology
  • Nomograms*
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / genetics
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Ovarian Neoplasms / pathology
  • Paclitaxel / administration & dosage
  • Prognosis
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Autophagy-Related Proteins
  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Carboplatin
  • Paclitaxel
  • Cisplatin