Increasing organ donation rates in Australia have been exceeded by a rise in potential donor referrals not proceeding to donate. Referral evaluation is resource-intensive. We sought to characterize organ donor referrals in New South Wales, Australia, and identify predictors of referrals not proceeding to donation.
Methods: We performed a cohort study of NSW Organ and Tissue Donation Service logs 2010-2015, describing the prevalence and impact of comorbidities on referral outcome. Logistic regression was used to identify comorbidities influencing outcome and predict probability of donation.
Results: Of 2977 referrals, 669 (22%) donated and 2308 (78%) did not. Despite increasing donation rates, the proportion proceeding to donate declined 2010-2015. Among referrals, the prevalence of all comorbidities except cerebrovascular disease increased and was higher among nondonors. History of cardiac disease, ≥65 years of age, chronic kidney or liver disease, malignancy, and absence of cerebrovascular disease were all significantly (P < 0.01) associated with non donation. Hypertension and diabetes did not significantly impact outcome. Predicted probability of donation varied from <1% to 54% depending on comorbidity burden of the referral.
Conclusions: Comorbidity burden among donor referrals is increasing. The presence of particular comorbidities may significantly impact referral outcome. A better understanding of referral characteristics associated with non donation may improve the efficiency of the referral process in the context of encouraging routine referrals.
Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). Transplantation Direct. Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.