A Novel In-hospital Congestion Score to Risk Stratify Patients Admitted for Worsening Heart Failure (from ASCEND-HF)

J Cardiovasc Transl Res. 2020 Aug;13(4):540-548. doi: 10.1007/s12265-020-09954-x. Epub 2020 Jan 13.

Abstract

Patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) remain at high risk for early readmission. A post hoc analysis was performed of the biomarker substudy of the ASCEND-HF trial. An in-hospital congestion score was derived using orthopnea, pedal edema, and NT-proBNP levels. Its added prognostic value beyond traditional risk factors was assessed by determining the net reclassification index (NRI). Study participants (n = 884) had a median age (years) of 67 (55-77), 68% were male, and the median (25th-75th) ejection fraction (%) was 26 (20-40). After adjustment, increasing congestion score was associated with 30-day all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization (odds ratio = 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.77, p < 0.001) and 180-day all-cause mortality (hazard ratio = 1.48, 95% CI 1.28-1.72, p < 0.001). However, adding the congestion score to the multivariable model did not significantly impact the NRI. A higher in-hospital congestion score portended a poor short-term prognosis but did not significantly reclassify risk.

Keywords: Congestion; Heart failure; Mortality; Natriuretic peptides; Readmission.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Clinical Decision Rules*
  • Databases, Factual
  • Disease Progression
  • Dyspnea / etiology
  • Edema / etiology
  • Female
  • Health Status
  • Heart Failure / complications
  • Heart Failure / diagnosis*
  • Heart Failure / mortality
  • Heart Failure / physiopathology
  • Hemodynamics*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood
  • Patient Admission*
  • Patient Readmission
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain