Follow the Sex: Influence of Network Structure on the Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness of Partner Management Strategies for Sexually Transmitted Infection Control

Sex Transm Dis. 2020 Feb;47(2):71-79. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000001100.

Abstract

Background: It is well established that network structure strongly influences infectious disease dynamics. However, little is known about how the network structure impacts the cost-effectiveness of disease control strategies. We evaluated partner management strategies to address bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) as a case study to explore the influence of the network structure on the optimal disease management strategy.

Methods: We simulated a hypothetical bacterial STI spread through 4 representative network structures: random, community-structured, scale-free, and empirical. We simulated disease outcomes (prevalence, incidence, total infected person-months) and cost-effectiveness of 4 partner management strategies in each network structure: routine STI screening alone (no partner management), partner notification, expedited partner therapy, and contact tracing. We determined the optimal partner management strategy following a cost-effectiveness framework and varied key compliance parameters of partner management in sensitivity analysis.

Results: For the same average number of contacts and disease parameters in our setting, community-structured networks had the lowest incidence, prevalence, and total infected person-months, whereas scale-free networks had the highest without partner management. The highly connected individuals were more likely to be reinfected in scale-free networks than in the other network structures. The cost-effective partner management strategy depended on the network structures, the compliance in partner management, the willingness-to-pay threshold, and the rate of external force of infection.

Conclusions: Our findings suggest that contact network structure matters in determining the optimal disease control strategy in infectious diseases. Information on a population's contact network structure may be valuable for informing optimal investment of limited resources.

MeSH terms

  • Bacterial Infections / prevention & control
  • Bacterial Infections / transmission
  • Communicable Disease Control / economics
  • Communicable Disease Control / methods
  • Community Networks* / economics
  • Computer Simulation*
  • Contact Tracing* / methods
  • Contact Tracing* / statistics & numerical data
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Humans
  • Sexual Partners / psychology*
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / diagnosis
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / prevention & control*
  • Sexually Transmitted Diseases / psychology