Ischemic Core Volume Combined with the Relative Perfusion Ratio for Stroke Outcome Prediction after Endovascular Thrombectomy

Background and purpose: Imaging-based selection of stroke patients for endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) remains an ongoing challenge. Our aim was to determine the value of a combined parameter of ischemic core volume (ICV) and the relative degree of cerebral blood flow in the penumbra for morphologic and clinical outcome prediction.

Methods: In this Institutional Review Board (IRB)-approved prospective observational study, 221 consecutive patients with large vessel occlusion anterior circulation stroke within 6 hours of symptom onset and subsequent EVT were included between June 2015 and August 2017. Admission computed tomography perfusion was analyzed using automated threshold-based algorithms. Perfusion-weighted ICV (pw-ICV) was calculated by multiplying ICV with the relative cerebral blood flow reduction within the penumbra. Functional outcome was assessed by standardized assessment of the modified Rankin scale (mRS) after 3 months.

Results: In multivariate analyses, pw-ICV was significantly associated with final infarction volume (FIV) (β = .38, P < .001) after adjustment for penumbra volume, age, sex and time from symptom onset. In separate multivariate analysis with either pw-ICV or ICV, pw-ICV outperformed ICV for the prediction of FIV (Akaike's information criterion: 1,072 vs. 1,089; conditional variable importance: 1,494 vs. 955). There was also a highly significant association between FIV and clinical outcome as measured by an mRS score of 2 or less (odds ratio per 10 mL = .78, P < .001). Both pw-ICV and ICV were significantly associated with NIHSS improvement (both P<.05).

Conclusion: In EVT-treated stroke patients, pw-ICV outperforms the more commonly used ICV in the prediction of morphological and functional outcome.