Changing Epidemiology and Decreased Mortality Associated With Carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative Bacteria, 2000-2017

Background: Carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (CRGNB) continue to present a global healthcare crisis. We aimed to identify emerging trends of CRGNB over nearly 2 decades and describe the impact of CRGNB on patient outcomes.

Methods: Patients from whom CRGNB were isolated between 2000 and 2017 were included in the study. Carbapenem resistance was defined by the most recent breakpoints and applied across the study period. Patient demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were retrieved from the electronic health record.

Results: A total of 94 888 isolates from 64 422 patients were identified; 9882 (10%) isolates from 4038 patients were carbapenem-resistant. Pseudomonas aeruginosa was the most common CRGNB each year. The second most common CRGNB emerged in waves over time. Carbapenem daily defined doses increased in parallel with CRGNB rates (R2 = 0.8131). The overall 30-day mortality rate was 19%, which decreased from 24% in 2000 to 17% in 2017 (P = .003; R2 = .4330). Among patients with CRGNB bloodstream infections (n = 319), overall 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 27% and 38%, respectively. Charlson score (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.11 per point), intensive care unit residence (aOR, 7.32), and severe liver disease (aOR, 4.8.4) were independent predictors of 30-day mortality, while receipt of transplantation was associated with lower rates of death (aOR, 0.39). Among patients admitted between 2011 and 2017 (n = 2230), 17% died during hospitalization, 32% were transferred to long-term care facilities, and 38% were discharged home.

Conclusions: CRGNB emerged in waves over time, causing high rates of mortality. Despite increasing rates of CRGNB, overall patient outcomes have improved, suggesting that recognition and novel therapeutics have made a major impact.