Quantification of Ebola virus replication kinetics in vitro

PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Nov 2;16(11):e1008375. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008375. eCollection 2020 Nov.

Abstract

Mathematical modelling has successfully been used to provide quantitative descriptions of many viral infections, but for the Ebola virus, which requires biosafety level 4 facilities for experimentation, modelling can play a crucial role. Ebola virus modelling efforts have primarily focused on in vivo virus kinetics, e.g., in animal models, to aid the development of antivirals and vaccines. But, thus far, these studies have not yielded a detailed specification of the infection cycle, which could provide a foundational description of the virus kinetics and thus a deeper understanding of their clinical manifestation. Here, we obtain a diverse experimental data set of the Ebola virus infection in vitro, and then make use of Bayesian inference methods to fully identify parameters in a mathematical model of the infection. Our results provide insights into the distribution of time an infected cell spends in the eclipse phase (the period between infection and the start of virus production), as well as the rate at which infectious virions lose infectivity. We suggest how these results can be used in future models to describe co-infection with defective interfering particles, which are an emerging alternative therapeutic.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Chlorocebus aethiops
  • Computational Biology
  • Computer Simulation
  • Ebolavirus / genetics
  • Ebolavirus / pathogenicity
  • Ebolavirus / physiology*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / virology
  • Host Microbial Interactions / physiology
  • Humans
  • In Vitro Techniques
  • Kinetics
  • Markov Chains
  • Models, Biological*
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction
  • Vero Cells
  • Viral Load / physiology
  • Virus Replication / physiology*