Utility of the 5-Item Modified Frailty Index for Predicting Adverse Outcomes Following Elective Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion

World Neurosurg. 2021 Feb:146:e670-e677. doi: 10.1016/j.wneu.2020.10.154. Epub 2020 Nov 3.

Abstract

Background: Frailty is an increasingly studied tool for preoperative risk stratification, but its prognostic value for anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) patients is unclear. We sought to evaluate the association of the 5-item modified Frailty Index (5i-mFI) with 30-day adverse outcomes following ACDF and its predictive performance compared with other common metrics.

Methods: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried from 2016-2018 for patients undergoing elective ACDF for degenerative diseases. Outcomes of interest included 30-day complications, extended length of stay (LOS), non-home discharge, and unplanned readmissions. Unadjusted/adjusted odds ratios were calculated. The discriminatory performance of the 5i-mFI compared with age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, and body mass index was computed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results: A total of 23,754 patients were identified. On adjusted analysis, an index of 1 was significantly associated with extended LOS, non-home discharge, and unplanned readmissions (P < 0.001, P = 0.023, P = 0.003, respectively), but not complications (all P > 0.05). An index ≥2 was significantly associated with each outcome (all P < 0.001). The 5i-mFI was found to have a significantly higher AUC than body mass index for each outcome, a similar AUC compared with ASA classification and age for complications and unplanned readmissions, and a significantly lower AUC than ASA classification and age for extended LOS and non-home discharge.

Conclusions: The 5i-mFI was found to be significantly associated with 30-day adverse outcomes following ACDF but had similar or lesser predictive performance compared with more universally available and easily implemented metrics, such as ASA classification and age.

Keywords: ACDF; ASA classification; Degenerative disease; Frailty; NSQIP; Risk stratification; Spine surgery.

MeSH terms

  • Body Mass Index
  • Cervical Vertebrae / surgery*
  • Diabetes Mellitus / drug therapy
  • Diabetes Mellitus / epidemiology
  • Diskectomy / methods*
  • Elective Surgical Procedures
  • Female
  • Frailty / epidemiology*
  • Functional Status
  • Heart Failure / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / drug therapy
  • Hypertension / epidemiology
  • Intervertebral Disc Degeneration / epidemiology
  • Intervertebral Disc Degeneration / surgery*
  • Length of Stay / statistics & numerical data
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Myocardial Infarction / epidemiology
  • Pneumonia / epidemiology
  • Postoperative Complications / epidemiology*
  • Prognosis
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / epidemiology
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / physiopathology
  • Pulmonary Embolism / epidemiology
  • Renal Insufficiency / epidemiology
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sepsis / epidemiology
  • Spinal Fusion / methods*
  • Surgical Wound Infection / epidemiology
  • Urinary Tract Infections / epidemiology
  • Venous Thrombosis / epidemiology