Indirect Comparison of Lanadelumab and Intravenous C1-INH Using Data from the HELP and CHANGE Studies: Bayesian and Frequentist Analyses

Drugs R D. 2021 Mar;21(1):113-121. doi: 10.1007/s40268-021-00337-4. Epub 2021 Mar 1.

Abstract

Background: Hereditary angioedema (HAE) with C1-esterase inhibitor (C1-INH) deficiency is a rare disease associated with painful, potentially fatal swelling episodes affecting subcutaneous or submucosal tissues. HAE attacks recur with unpredictable severity and frequency throughout patients' lives; long-term prophylaxis is essential for some patients. In the absence of head-to-head studies, indirect treatment comparison (ITC) of long-term prophylactic agents is a valid approach to evaluate comparative efficacy.

Methods: We conducted an ITC using data from the placebo-controlled HELP study (assessing patients receiving lanadelumab 300 mg every 2 or 4 weeks) and the 12-week, parallel arm, crossover CHANGE study (assessing intravenous C1-INH). Outcomes of interest were attack rate ratio (ARR) and time to attack after day 0 (TTA0) and after day 70 (TTA70). Two ITC methodologies were used: a Bayesian approach using study results to update non-informative prior distributions to posterior distributions on relative treatment effects, and a frequentist approach using patient-level data from HELP and CHANGE to generate Poisson regressions (for ARR) and Cox models (for TTA0 and TT70).

Results: Both Bayesian and frequentist analyses suggested that lanadelumab reduced HAE attack rate by 46-73% versus intravenous C1-INH. Relative to intravenous C1-INH, risk of first attack after day 0 was comparable between intravenous C1-INH and both lanadelumab doses; risk of first attack after day 70 was reduced by 81-83% with lanadelumab 300 mg every 2 weeks, compared with C1-INH.

Conclusions: Findings from these two ITC methodologies support the favorable efficacy of lanadelumab in reducing the HAE attack rate and extending attack-free intervals in patients with HAE.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Administration, Intravenous
  • Angioedemas, Hereditary / drug therapy*
  • Angioedemas, Hereditary / prevention & control*
  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized / administration & dosage*
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic
  • Complement C1 Inhibitor Protein / administration & dosage*
  • Cross-Over Studies
  • Drug Administration Schedule
  • Humans
  • Injections, Subcutaneous
  • Kallikreins / antagonists & inhibitors
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Poisson Distribution
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized
  • Complement C1 Inhibitor Protein
  • lanadelumab
  • Kallikreins